Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove But Im not mathy. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell They agree to within a factor of two! This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Want to Read. Probability is a pure odd. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? saving. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Me neither. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Are they gross exaggerations? And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Step 1. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Whoa. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. But let's think about this some more. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Hello there! Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Dr. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. That's 150,000 generations. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Same to all of us. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. I hope you use your chance well. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. What are the odds of that? Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Wowser. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Then the probability of Mr. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Step 2. Were all winners in life without doing anything! It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Ali Binazir (Author of The Tao Of Dating) - Goodreads dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com June 24, 2022 . They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. So whats the probability of your existing? Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Which one's bigger? The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? You have lived your life. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Now things start getting interesting. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism.
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